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Jets at Blues
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
St. Louis Blues
▸7
FinalTV ESPN2, FDSNMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 3:11 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 19, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.5 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 G, 4 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (3 G, 1 A), 3. Robert Thomas (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Fowler1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich3 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG070824219
STLSTL3150647728

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(1)
    J. Snuggerud (1), C. Fowler (3)
    tip-inxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:48
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(2)PPG
    R. Thomas (1), C. Fowler (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:11
  3. STL
    C. Fowler(1)
    R. Thomas (2), P. Buchnevich (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:51

3rd period

  1. WPG
    D. Gustafsson(1)
    J. Anderson-Dolan (1), M. Barron (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:32
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(3)
    R. Thomas (3)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:24
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(2)PPG
    C. Fowler (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:56
  4. STL
    A. Toropchenko(1)
    J. Neighbours (2), R. Faksa (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07Video
    1-6
    10:32
  5. WPG
    N. Pionk(1)PPG
    C. Miller (1), M. Appleton (2)
    slapxG 0.04Video
    2-6
    12:50
  6. STL
    C. Parayko(1)PPG
    C. Fowler (6), R. Thomas (4)
    slapxG 0.07Video
    2-7
    16:17

Penalties

WPG 40 PIM·STL 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:58WPGLuke Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 12:01WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 12:01STLOskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 5:45WPGLuke Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 5:57STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 9:31STLPhilip Broberg · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 12:35WPGJaret Anderson-Dolan · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
  • 18:19STLZachary Bolduc · Slashingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

3rd

  • 6:30STLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 6:30WPGColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 6:30WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 7:21WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 11:22STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 11:22WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:22STLBrayden Schenn · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:12WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 16:12WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 16:12WPGLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:28WPGLuke Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 1st 3:11 — STL 67% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.32P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.18O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.14C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.08J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.07P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.07A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01
STL7 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
1.72 G
All situations
7 G2.8
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG31%69%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
19
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
3/8
40
Penalty minutes
22
59
Hits
54
16
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD101-230.23502—22:52
54D. SambergD000-100.07110—22:17
44J. MorrisseyD000-210.07620—21:44
81K. ConnorL000-420.25020—19:29
55M. ScheifeleC000-310.202004018:26
5L. SchennD000-220.06606—16:58
91C. PerfettiC000-120.25110016:52
6C. MillerD011+110.10502—16:52
9A. IafalloL000-330.16220—16:46
64L. StanleyD000000.003316—15:27
62N. NiederreiterR000010.06200—15:12
17A. LowryC000-110.045104615:01
7V. NamestnikovC000000.0040123814:07
22M. AppletonC011000.0030010014:04
36M. BarronC011+100.082102911:40
73B. TanevL000010.05500—10:29
19D. GustafssonC101+110.121106708:33
28J. Anderson-DolanC011+100.00622008:27
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)25196.7602.52-3.4850:32
1E. Comrie321.6670.27-0.7309:28

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).