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Jets at Blues
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Walker's goal at 11:34 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 23, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philip Broberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexey Toropchenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Broberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Toropchenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Fowler1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0219112223
STLSTL1841504527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Broberg(1)
    R. Thomas (6), J. Snuggerud (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:05

2nd period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(1)PPG
    K. Connor (5), J. Morrissey (3)
    batxG 0.72win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:43
  2. STL
    N. Walker(3)
    P. Broberg (1), R. Faksa (3)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:34
  3. STL
    B. Schenn(2)
    J. Neighbours (5), R. Suter (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:27
  4. STL
    C. Fowler(2)
    C. Parayko (4), A. Toropchenko (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:40
  5. STL
    A. Toropchenko(2)
    R. Faksa (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    16:57

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(2)PPG
    M. Appleton (6), V. Namestnikov (2)
    pokexG 0.57win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:54

Penalties

WPG 30 PIM·STL 30 PIM

1st

  • 6:37WPGDylan DeMelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:26STLJake Neighbours · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 16:25WPGNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

2nd

  • 0:26STLJustin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 5:31STLNathan Walker · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 14:46WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 18:08WPGLogan Stanley · Holding the stickdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 3:14WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 3:14WPGBrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 3:14STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 3:14WPGDominic Toninato · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 3:14STLJustin Faulk · Roughingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 7:10STLBrayden Schenn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 7:10STLAlexey Toropchenko · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:10WPGLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:30WPGMason Appleton · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 11:30STLJake Neighbours · Roughingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min
  • 11:30STLJustin Faulk · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 11:30WPGNino Niederreiter · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 11:30WPGNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 12:38STLColton Parayko · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 16:00STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan Walker, 2nd 11:34 — STL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.27N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.21J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.19O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.16J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.16J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.13N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.12M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.08J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.07P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
4.22 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.40 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
2.82 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG63%37%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.90 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/6
Power play
0/6
30
Penalty minutes
30
40
Hits
36
9
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-130.43234—24:55
4N. PionkD000-210.03210—23:36
81K. ConnorL011-130.58100—21:53
54D. SambergD000-120.06000—21:33
13G. VilardiC000-120.501007319:14
2D. DeMeloD000-210.01102—17:40
7V. NamestnikovC011000.003005017:39
27N. EhlersL000-230.49100—16:00
17A. LowryC000-110.014005715:56
5L. SchennD000-300.03610—15:37
22M. AppletonC011010.14102014:51
62N. NiederreiterR101-210.5720610014:15
91C. PerfettiC101-341.09110014:13
9A. IafalloL000-100.00200—14:04
36M. BarronC000-310.014006713:33
73B. TanevL000000.00212—10:26
64L. StanleyD000-100.053112—09:28
21D. ToninatoC000-100.164123807:35
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)23185.7832.42-2.5840:00
1E. Comrie4401.0000.71+0.7115:32

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).