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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Jets scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Tucker's goal at 10:46 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 31, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 13 of 18 (.722), 3.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (30 saves, .968), 2. Jake Neighbours (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11201108131
STLSTL1531217524

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:58
  2. STL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:37

2nd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:46
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:23
  3. STL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:54

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    2:01

Penalties

WPG 36 PIM·STL 24 PIM

1st

  • 1:38WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 7:37STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:59STLTyler Tucker · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 15:18WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min

3rd

  • 17:47STLNathan Walker · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:47WPGLuke Schenn · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:28WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
  • 18:28STLZachary Bolduc · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:28WPGAdam Lowry · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:28WPGMason Appleton · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Tucker, 2nd 10:46 — STL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.22R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.20J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.18A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.14A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.13T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.12N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.12J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · Goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
1.51 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.01 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG31%69%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
24
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/3
36
Penalty minutes
24
40
Hits
40
11
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
54D. SambergD011-100.00000—23:39
4N. PionkD000050.11300—22:35
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.06110—21:58
2D. DeMeloD000-230.06440—21:56
36M. BarronC000040.3240010017:19
81K. ConnorL101-120.18010—16:47
55M. ScheifeleC000-210.091006016:41
17A. LowryC000-110.0660146816:39
22M. AppletonC000000.202010016:16
91C. PerfettiC011030.13200016:15
9A. IafalloL000-200.00400—16:02
7V. NamestnikovC000-130.150022515:50
62N. NiederreiterR000-230.12400—15:11
5L. SchennD000-200.002210—13:17
24H. FleuryD000-100.01100—12:58
73B. TanevL000-110.02230—11:31
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-110.0140010010:36
19D. GustafssonC000-110.02000008:58
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)18135.7221.88-3.1242:01
1E. Comrie6601.0000.62+0.6217:59

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).