Blues at Jets 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

St. Louis Blues

Winnipeg Jets

▸2

FinalTV ESPN2, FDSNMW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 1:43 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 22, WPG 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Schenn, 3. Logan Stanley.

Three stars

★
M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
★★
B. Schenn
★★★
L. Stanley

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	110	07	05	122
WPG	18	07	17	222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Scheifele(2)
D. DeMelo (1)
backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
0-1
16:32
J. Snuggerud(1)PPG
P. Buchnevich (2), C. Fowler (2)
wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-1
19:58

3rd period

K. Connor(2)
C. Perfetti (1), M. Scheifele (3)
wristxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
1-2
1:43

Penalties

4 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

6:19Radek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
13:21Tyler Tucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
18:06Dylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

10:24Mark Scheifele · Holding the stickdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
16:50Logan Stanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

3rd

8:01Luke Schenn · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WPG

100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 1:43 — WPG 53% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 1.5 xG · 41 att WPG

2 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.51 G
All situations: 2 G2.7; 1.00 G
Even strength: 2 G1.8; 0.51 G
Power play: 0 G0.6; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

33%67%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

22
Shots on goal: 22; 46%
Faceoffs: 54%; 1/4
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 8; 29
Hits: 33; 5
Blocked shots: 14; 23
Giveaways: 14; 3
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

St. Louis Blues skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
18R. ThomasC	0	0	0	-2	3	0.28	1	0	0	50	23:13
89P. BuchnevichL	0	1	1	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	—	22:47
72J. FaulkD	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	—	20:50
10B. SchennC	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	5	0	0	38	20:27
17C. FowlerD	0	1	1	-1	2	0.10	0	1	0	—	20:17
21J. SnuggerudR	1	0	1	-1	2	0.25	0	2	0	—	20:01
55C. ParaykoD	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	0	—	19:59
25J. KyrouR	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	—	18:59
63J. NeighboursL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	—	18:29
76Z. BolducR	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	1	0	0	—	16:36
6P. BrobergD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	—	16:24
70O. SundqvistC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	25	15:01
22R. SuterD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	13:48
26N. WalkerL	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	3	1	0	—	12:07
12R. FaksaC	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	3	0	2	67	10:37
13A. ToropchenkoR	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	—	09:53
75T. TuckerD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	0	2	—	09:45
4N. LeddyD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	—	09:34

St. Louis Blues goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
50J. Binnington(L)	22	20	2	.909	2.38	+0.38	57:13

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score