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Flames at Stars
NHL

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV TBS, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 10:03 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 5.6 to 3.4; shots on goal were CGY 54, DAL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 50 of 53 (.943), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Oettinger (50 saves, .943), 3. Jacob Markstrom (34 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger50 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom34 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY019120315454
DALDAL08014113135

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(1)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (3), T. Toffoli (1)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:03

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:47
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(3)
    J. Gaudreau (3), N. Hanifin (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    3-0
    11:53
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(1)PPG
    J. Pavelski (1), R. Hintz (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    15:03
  4. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)EN
    C. Jarnkrok (1), T. Lewis (1)
    wristxG 0.48
    4-1
    19:38

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·DAL 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:33DALVladislav Namestnikov · Illegal check to headdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 12:34CGYNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 0:26DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 1:31CGYRasmus Andersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 8:29DALJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 8:46DALRadek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 14:29CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

3rd

  • 4:30CGYOliver Kylington · Hookingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 7:47DALJohn Klingberg · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Johnny Gaudreau0 min
  • 14:02CGYMikael Backlund · Elbowingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 14:02DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 14:02CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 15:24DALMichael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
  • 17:04CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 10:03 — CGY 49% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.25T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.20R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.18J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.16J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.13M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.12E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
5.63 G
All situations
1 G3.4
3.22 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.51 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 126 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY72%28%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.98 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
54
Shots on goal
35
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/5
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
25
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC101+110.501107121:47
4R. AnderssonD101+120.22112—20:38
55N. HanifinD011+230.14312—20:34
8C. TanevD000+110.14130—19:47
11M. BacklundC101+120.642145918:33
73T. ToffoliC011060.77000017:25
13J. GaudreauL112+261.00000—17:23
22T. LewisC011+130.153102016:14
19M. TkachukL011+120.33202—16:00
16N. ZadorovD000040.19300—15:59
44E. GudbransonD000020.06100—15:58
91C. JarnkrokC011+130.262005014:25
20B. ColemanL000020.0801010014:18
58O. KylingtonD000030.14122—13:50
29D. DubeC000030.42400013:32
17M. LucicL000020.12410—11:44
88A. MangiapaneL000010.18002—10:40
26M. StoneD000080.21100—10:12
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)35341.9713.40+2.4060:00

Series

CGY leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).