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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸2
Calgary Flames
0
FinalTV TBS, BSSW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 7:47 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.2, CGY 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 23, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Joe Pavelski (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL190717223
CGYCGY06011012029

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(1)
    J. Robertson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:47

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Raffl(1)EN
    T. Seguin (1), J. Hakanpää (1)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    2-0
    18:51

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:43CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 0:43DALJohn Klingberg · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:56DALMichael Raffl · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 7:50DALJoel Kiviranta · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 7:50CGYBlake Coleman · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 15:54CGYNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 18:02DALJohn Klingberg · Hookingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 1:16CGYTyler Toffoli · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 1:16DALRoope Hintz · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 4:59CGYTrevor Lewis · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 12:34DALVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 12:34CGYTrevor Lewis · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 18:09DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 1st 7:47 — DAL 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY0 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
2.21 G
All situations
0 G2.3
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL30%70%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/3
14
Penalty minutes
12
36
Hits
35
20
Blocked shots
5
8
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000010.01110—22:59
23E. LindellD000+120.04100—22:45
4M. HeiskanenD000010.07210—21:55
3J. KlingbergD000+120.24224—20:48
24R. HintzC000+130.073026317:32
2J. HakanpääD011+110.01130—17:12
16J. PavelskiC101+120.173105517:07
91T. SeguinC011+130.183025616:30
14J. BennL000020.113103315:27
21J. RobertsonL011+110.09100—15:04
18M. RafflL101+121.1041210014:53
11L. GlendeningC000000.0024010014:50
12R. FaksaC000+100.000108214:19
92V. NamestnikovC000010.08412013:46
44J. HanleyD000+110.04020—11:48
34D. GurianovR000000.00210—11:17
47A. RadulovR000000.00110—09:06
25J. KivirantaL000010.03302—08:42
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)292901.0002.34+2.3460:00

Series

CGY leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).