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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Calgary Flames
▸1
FinalTV ESPN2, BSSW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Dallas Stars 1-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 5:01 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 57% to 66%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.4, CGY 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 16, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 25 of 26 (.962); Jacob Markstrom stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (16 saves, 1.000), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 3. Jake Oettinger (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom16 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0301003016
CGYCGY1110906126

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(1)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (1), J. Gaudreau (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    5:01

Penalties

DAL 30 PIM·CGY 30 PIM

1st

  • 4:56DALJani Hakanpää · Illegal check to headdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 7:43CGYNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 14:43CGYBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 17:21DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 20:00DALMichael Raffl · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 20:00DALMichael Raffl · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 20:00CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Michael Raffl5 min
  • 20:00DALJohn Klingberg · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson5 min
  • 20:00CGYRasmus Andersson · Fightingdrawn by John Klingberg5 min
  • 20:00CGYRasmus Andersson · Game misconductdrawn by John Klingberg10 min
  • 20:00DALJohn Klingberg · Game misconductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson10 min

2nd

  • 5:11CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 12:10CGYBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 14:38DALMichael Raffl · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
  • 16:19DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
  • 18:41CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 1st 5:01 — CGY 57% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 1.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
1.40 G
All situations
1 G1.4
0.90 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.35 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
16
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
1/5
30
Penalty minutes
30
20
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000020.11120—29:57
20R. SuterD000000.06100—25:46
23E. LindellD000020.06010—22:10
16J. PavelskiC000000.003004419:26
91T. SeguinC000030.370105019:22
24R. HintzC000010.330305019:20
21J. RobertsonL000010.04000—18:12
2J. HakanpääD000020.05132—18:00
14J. BennL000030.022025015:56
11L. GlendeningC000000.005005713:19
47A. RadulovR000010.03000—13:06
18M. RafflL000000.00419—13:04
34D. GurianovR000010.22000—12:44
44J. HanleyD000000.00200—12:43
12R. FaksaC000000.001202712:14
92V. NamestnikovC000000.05000010:58
25J. KivirantaL000000.00010—09:14
3J. KlingbergD000000.000015—07:23
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)26251.9621.41+0.4159:01

Series

CGY leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).