Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 11:41 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were VAN 26, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Marcus Hogberg stopped 25 of 26 (.962). Three stars: 1. Marcus Hogberg (25 saves, .962), 2. Brady Tkachuk (2 A), 3. Thomas Chabot.
Three stars
- ★M. Hogberg25 saves, .962

- ★★B. Tkachuk2 A

- ★★★T. Chabot

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-110:22
1-114:07
2nd period
1-211:41
Penalties
1st
- 10:23
Ryan Dzingel · Fightingdrawn by Jake Virtanen5 min
- 10:23
Jake Virtanen · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel5 min
2nd
- 14:45
Tyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
- 18:41
Ryan Dzingel · Holdingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 11:41 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.16
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 7
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 25
- Hits
- 34
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
VAN leads 6-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















