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Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV SNP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 11:41 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were VAN 26, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Marcus Hogberg stopped 25 of 26 (.962). Three stars: 1. Marcus Hogberg (25 saves, .962), 2. Brady Tkachuk (2 A), 3. Thomas Chabot.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Hogberg25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1110609126
OTTOTT1811306227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:22
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:07

2nd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:41

Penalties

VAN 7 PIM·OTT 7 PIM

1st

  • 10:23OTTRyan Dzingel · Fightingdrawn by Jake Virtanen5 min
  • 10:23VANJake Virtanen · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel5 min

2nd

  • 14:45VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 18:41OTTRyan Dzingel · Holdingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVAN goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 11:41 — OTT 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.38C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.11A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.10J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsOTT
1.51 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsOTT
26
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
25
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000000.00110—25:14
27T. HamonicD000020.03320—21:43
53B. HorvatC000040.261107321:24
70T. PearsonL000010.06200—20:50
23A. EdlerD000-230.04130—19:33
6B. BoeserR000-230.44000—19:32
57T. MyersD011+120.00222—18:18
9J. MillerC000-130.062104318:14
88N. SchmidtD000-210.01020—17:45
36N. HoglanderL000000.34100—16:02
48O. JuoleviD101+120.01110—15:30
20B. SutterC011010.020005814:23
64T. MotteC000+120.09500013:58
15M. HighmoreC000010.01310013:51
18J. VirtanenR000000.00105—11:39
24J. VeseyL000-210.11000—10:49
72T. BoydC000000.001002010:46
13J. HawrylukR000+100.00100—10:10
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)27252.9262.18+0.1858:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).