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Senators at Canucks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 13:45 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 28, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (1 G), 2. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bo Horvat (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    E. Dadonov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1701417228
VANVAN17114213434

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    N. Schmidt(4)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:43
  2. OTT
    C. White(9)
    J. Brown (1), E. Dadonov (6)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:32

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(17)PPG
    Q. Hughes (29), J. Miller (23)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    4:46

3rd period

  1. OTT
    E. Dadonov(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:52
  2. VAN
    T. Pearson(9)
    B. Horvat (15), T. Hamonic (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    13:45
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(10)EN
    T. Motte (2), B. Horvat (16)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:06

Penalties

OTT 13 PIM·VAN 17 PIM

1st

  • 9:51VANJayce Hawryluk · Fightingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom5 min
  • 9:51OTTErik Brannstrom · Fightingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk5 min
  • 10:55VANJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 16:37VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min

2nd

  • 4:27OTTMatt Murray · Trippingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 7:36VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 11:27VANJake Virtanen · High sticking double minordrawn by Tim Stützle4 min
  • 15:51VANTyler Myers · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Alex Formenton0 min

3rd

  • 2:29OTTAlex Formenton · Interferencedrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 8:11OTTErik Brannstrom · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 8:11OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 14:14VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 3rd 13:45 — VAN 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.90T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.56B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
3.32 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.70 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT70%30%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
34
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/6
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
19
1
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-260.10000—28:38
9J. NorrisC000-210.513204020:01
7B. TkachukL000-250.993003819:53
19D. BathersonR000-210.09200—19:18
18T. StützleC000010.161005018:58
22N. ZaitsevD000-120.04000—18:06
28C. BrownR000030.37000—17:56
98V. MeteD000+100.00010—17:55
63E. DadonovL112+120.15000—16:27
2A. ZubD000010.02202—16:09
36C. WhiteC101+110.241001715:02
3J. BrownD011+100.01220—14:27
71C. TierneyC000-100.040202213:57
26E. BrannstromD000000.00007—12:59
13N. PaulL000010.110002012:34
10R. DzingelC000010.10100011:50
59A. FormentonL000020.29102—10:40
57S. PintoC000010.031206709:38
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Hogberg(L)20182.9001.40-0.6035:00
30M. Murray13121.9230.66-0.3424:13

Season series

VAN leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).