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Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, TSN5·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 9:17 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 25, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Tyler Myers, 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Murray31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Myers
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT2110717325
VANVAN07012012031

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:17
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    15:57

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(17)EN
    wristxG 0.45
    3-0
    18:30

Penalties

OTT 17 PIM·VAN 27 PIM

1st

  • 4:56VANTravis Hamonic · Instigatordrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:56VANTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 4:56OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 4:56VANTravis Hamonic · Misconductdrawn by Brady Tkachuk10 min
  • 4:56OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 5:42OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 8:01VANMatthew Highmore · Slashingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 11:52VANQuinn Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 15:00VANJake Virtanen · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

2nd

  • 1:07OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 10:36OTTJoshua Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 10:36VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 10:36OTTJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

3rd

  • 1:10OTTColin White · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 8:39VANBo Horvat · Slashingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 1st 9:17 — OTT 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.18B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.18B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.17B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.11M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Michaelis · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.00O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN0 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
3.72 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.60 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT52%48%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
25
Shots on goal
31
35%
Faceoffs
65%
2/4
Power play
0/4
17
Penalty minutes
27
28
Hits
24
19
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000+141.07120—27:56
22N. ZaitsevD011+100.00530—22:30
28C. BrownR101+140.61220—19:57
19D. BathersonR112020.42100—19:19
2A. ZubD000000.00132—19:12
9J. NorrisC011020.161004618:33
26E. BrannstromD000000.00200—17:42
7B. TkachukL011040.332096717:03
36C. WhiteC000000.00012915:27
57S. PintoC000+120.221002414:58
18T. StützleC101040.18300014:27
98V. MeteD000000.00330—14:06
59A. FormentonL000+100.00020—13:47
71C. TierneyC000010.200104412:40
63E. DadonovL000000.00000—12:21
3J. BrownD000000.03224—12:01
10R. DzingelC000000.19200010:14
13N. PaulL011020.312007509:16
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)313101.0002.39+2.3960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).