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Senators at Canucks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Vancouver Canucks
▸7
FinalTV NHLN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 7-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 12:28 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.9, VAN 3.1; shots on goal were OTT 36, VAN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 35 (.800), 3.9 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Sutter (3 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (35 saves, .972), 3. Olli Juolevi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Sutter3 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko35 saves, .972
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    O. Juolevi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT010114012136
VANVAN21229314735

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Sutter(2)
    A. Edler (2)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:31
  2. VAN
    T. Motte(3)
    J. Beagle (1)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:08

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Watson(2)
    T. Chabot (2), M. Reilly (3)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:58
  2. VAN
    T. Pearson(1)
    N. Hoglander (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:28
  3. VAN
    B. Sutter(3)SHG
    A. Roussel (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    17:44

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes(1)
    B. Horvat (4), T. Pearson (3)
    backhandxG 0.28
    1-5
    12:12
  2. VAN
    O. Juolevi(1)
    B. Horvat (5)
    slapxG 0.02
    1-6
    15:50
  3. VAN
    B. Sutter(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28
    1-7
    19:06

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·VAN 22 PIM

1st

  • 2:43VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 3:58OTTChristian Wolanin · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 8:47VANAntoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min
  • 16:17VANJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 0:31VANJ.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:10VANAntoine Roussel · Cross checkingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 10:10OTTJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 13:14OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 13:14VANZack MacEwen · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:14VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 13:39OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min
  • 19:37VANAntoine Roussel · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 19:37OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Antoine Roussel5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 2nd 12:28 — VAN 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.28Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.28T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.25N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.17T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.16T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02O. Juolevi · Goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN7 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
2.91 G
All situations
7 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
6 G2.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT48%52%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
35
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/5
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
22
23
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-120.03112—22:13
44E. GudbransonD000-200.03310—19:50
22N. ZaitsevD000-320.02300—18:36
28C. BrownR000-150.41100—18:24
7B. TkachukL000-250.381001418:16
63E. DadonovL000-110.16000—18:16
5M. ReillyD011-340.07100—18:06
24C. WolaninD000-110.03102—17:24
9J. NorrisC000-120.391005416:37
71C. TierneyC000020.140203316:22
19D. BathersonR000-100.25110—16:02
3J. BrownD000-300.04132—15:37
13N. PaulL000+130.240005015:14
15D. StepanC000-410.071004414:37
51A. AnisimovC000-130.261201313:53
18T. StützleC000-410.08110012:37
17A. GalchenyukC000-320.07100011:09
16A. WatsonL101020.225010—10:53
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)35287.8003.06-3.9459:54

Season series

VAN leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).