New York Rangers at Boston Bruins
TV ESPN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Rangers
to win
55%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.476vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR-.057vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.112vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).