Boston Bruins at New York Rangers
TV NESN, MSG·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Bruins
to win
51%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.503vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR-.058vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.201vs.114GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.662vs.3305v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BOS Marco Sturm · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).