Panthers at Hurricanes — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Panthers at Hurricanes

Florida Panthers(40-38-4)

Carolina Hurricanes(53-22-7)

Tue, Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDTTV ESPN·Lenovo Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons

41%

Panthers

to win

59%

Hurricanes

Expected goals: 2.7–3.3
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR
.492vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR
-.014vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors FLA
-.046vs-.096GSAx / 60
Home icefavors CAR
CAR at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Panthers

Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/60
75% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/60
25% to start92 career GP

Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/60
53% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/60
28% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/60
20% to start58 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: FLA Paul Maurice · CAR Rod Brind'Amour

Leaders

vs

S. Reinhart
61
Points
S. Aho
80
S. Reinhart
29
Goals
A. Svechnikov
31
B. Tkachuk
37
Assists
S. Aho
53

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0018th
Goals for / game: 2nd3.55; 3.3428th
Goals against / game: 5th2.88; 19.5%19th
Power play: 4th24.9%; 81.0%9th
Penalty kill: 11th80.5%; 46.8%29th
Faceoffs: 16th50.1%

Season series

first meeting

Sep 29@this game
Jan 21@
Apr 10@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Sign in to join the chat.