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Senators at Canucks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 1:16 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.7 to 3.8; shots on goal were OTT 43, VAN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 30 of 35 (.857); Thatcher Demko stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Motte (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Motte2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT12307013143
VANVAN1732018535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Motte(4)
    T. Myers (4), J. Beagle (2)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:06
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(2)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (3), D. Batherson (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    8:16

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(1)
    Q. Hughes (7), E. Pettersson (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:16
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(2)
    J. Benn (2)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:29
  3. VAN
    E. Pettersson(2)PPG
    J. Miller (6), Q. Hughes (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    17:16

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Motte(5)
    J. Beagle (3)
    deflectedxG 0.43win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    11:46

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:11OTTJosh Norris · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 6:48VANJake Virtanen · Holding the stickdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 12:39VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 18:15VANAntoine Roussel · High stickingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min

2nd

  • 9:11OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min
  • 15:27OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 17:40VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 1:16 — VAN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.44J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.33T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.33J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.26N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.23Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.16E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.16N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.12B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.05A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.05A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN5 G · 4.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
3.81 G
All situations
5 G4.7
2.60 G
Even strength
4 G3.5
1.11 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT34%66%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 4.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
43
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000030.13044—24:58
44E. GudbransonD000-130.07410—22:46
22N. ZaitsevD000010.01200—22:41
5M. ReillyD000-310.05010—20:25
63E. DadonovL000-140.28100—19:01
7B. TkachukL011060.531005018:31
19D. BathersonR011040.3320010017:54
9J. NorrisC101070.690126016:59
36C. WhiteC000-140.912104416:55
55B. CoburnD000-200.00310—15:25
28C. BrownR000-210.06210—14:15
13N. PaulL000-120.180107513:50
71C. TierneyC000-200.000103013:25
15D. StepanC000-130.160006412:48
16A. WatsonL000-130.34110—12:41
18T. StützleC000-200.0020010012:29
23C. PaquetteC000-100.005002012:20
24C. WolaninD000-210.02000—07:35
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Hogberg(L)35305.8574.75-0.2559:01

Season series

VAN leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).