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Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, TSN5·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 10:49 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 37, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 0.7 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (36 saves, .973), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Holtby36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01111907137
VANVAN2101916425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    5:30
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:49

2nd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:32
  2. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    14:15

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:47

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·VAN 17 PIM

1st

  • 4:04OTTAustin Watson · Interferencedrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
  • 7:57VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min

2nd

  • 10:53VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 14:58OTTColin White · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 19:12OTTBraydon Coburn · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min

3rd

  • 4:28OTTJoshua Brown · Holdingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 10:08VANJalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:08OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 10:08VANJalen Chatfield · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:39VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 19:10VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 19:10OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 19:10VANAdam Gaudette · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 1st 10:49 — VAN 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.43N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.26T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.23B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.22T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.21E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.16E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.13B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.11A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.07T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.00Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
2.71 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT42%58%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
37
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/5
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
17
36
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101-140.29200—24:00
22N. ZaitsevD000-120.02520—22:54
44E. GudbransonD000030.07350—21:15
63E. DadonovL000-120.24000—19:08
28C. BrownR000020.2400010019:04
71C. TierneyC000-140.140003317:19
9J. NorrisC000-110.082004517:14
13N. PaulL000-120.194008016:48
19D. BathersonR000-110.22010—16:41
5M. ReillyD000-130.09000—16:40
36C. WhiteC000-140.441022516:29
55B. CoburnD000010.02202—16:22
18T. StützleC000000.00010015:42
7B. TkachukL000-150.5412075015:22
3J. BrownD000-100.00122—11:33
23C. PaquetteC000000.060007510:16
16A. WatsonL000020.08302—08:45
78F. ChlapikC000+110.03100007:11
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)25214.8403.31-0.6959:51

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).