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Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV SNP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 1:40. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 28, OTT 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (44 saves, .957), 2. Joey Daccord (25 saves, .893), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko44 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Daccord25 saves, .893
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN290701111328
OTTOTT01811111700246

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:14
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    18:49

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:52

3rd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.18win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    17:50

Overtime

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes (23), B. Horvat (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:40

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:17VANJayce Hawryluk · High stickingdrawn by Clark Bishop2 min
  • 19:13VANAdam Gaudette · High stickingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min

2nd

  • 7:46VANTravis Hamonic · Hookingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 13:12VANBo Horvat · Slashingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 18:47OTTMike Reilly · Holdingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVAN goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 1:40 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.21A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.20B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.19E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.19C. White · Goal · xG 0.18T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.18T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.16C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.13J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.12C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03C. White · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 4.3 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsOTT
2.43 G
All situations
2 G4.3
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G3.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN22%78%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 4.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
46
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-250.05120—24:35
57T. MyersD000+220.10100—23:58
9J. MillerC101+120.322005423:30
6B. BoeserR000010.19100—20:40
53B. HorvatC011020.381324720:07
43Q. HughesD011+120.14010—19:51
70T. PearsonL101010.08100—19:41
20B. SutterC011010.210005819:22
88N. SchmidtD000-120.01000—18:34
8J. BennD011+230.05040—16:38
27T. HamonicD000-140.06022—16:03
36N. HoglanderL000000.00000—14:51
18J. VirtanenR000-120.38000—13:56
96A. GaudetteR000000.110123311:35
21L. ErikssonL000-100.00000—10:47
13J. HawrylukR101+210.25112—10:38
56M. MichaelisL000+100.00100—06:08
71Z. MacEwenR000000.00200—05:58
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)46442.9574.30+2.3061:40

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).