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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV SNW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devin Shore's goal at 12:58 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.3, OTT 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 23, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (39 saves, .975), 2. Connor Brown (1 G), 3. Jujhar Khaira (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Smith39 saves, .975
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Khaira1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0518210323
OTTOTT010116014140

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(8)PPG
    C. McDavid (46), T. Barrie (30)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:00
  2. OTT
    C. Brown(12)
    C. Tierney (10), M. Reilly (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    18:03

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Shore(4)
    C. Jones (2), J. Khaira (8)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +37 pts
    2-1
    12:58
  2. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:50

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:28EDMGaetan Haas · Trippingdrawn by Clark Bishop2 min
  • 12:55EDMMike Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 10:29OTTNikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Devin Shore, 3rd 12:58 — EDM 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.19N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.05J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.00E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
2.32 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM38%62%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
40
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
33
12
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+130.10010—26:33
97C. McDavidC011+140.451101723:56
29L. DraisaitlC000+100.082006423:25
22T. BarrieD011030.10010—22:17
6A. LarssonD000010.03220—21:39
13J. PuljujarviR101+140.57000—20:39
4K. RussellD000-110.05110—19:42
74E. BearD000+100.00030—15:43
14D. ShoreC101+120.09210015:06
15J. ArchibaldR000+100.01400—15:03
16J. KhairaL011+100.007006014:50
82C. JonesD011+110.02210—13:35
39A. ChiassonR000010.11000—12:34
56K. YamamotoR101-120.43000—11:08
44Z. KassianR000000.06600—10:59
91G. HaasC000-110.222021310:04
8K. TurrisC000000.001103309:57
21D. KahunC000-100.0000010009:11
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)40391.9752.54+1.5459:39

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).