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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV SNW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-1. The Senators scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Ennis's goal at 6:09 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 35, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Murray (32 saves, .941), 3. Mike Smith (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Murray32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Smith27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM08117210335
OTTOTT0101909128

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    E. Dadonov(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:33
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(8)
    D. Kahun (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:11

3rd period

  1. EDM
    T. Ennis(1)
    W. Lagesson (2), L. Draisaitl (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +29 pts
    2-1
    6:09
  2. EDM
    J. Archibald(3)EN
    C. McDavid (18)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:50

Penalties

EDM 14 PIM·OTT 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:41EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 1:41OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 1:43EDMZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 1:43OTTErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min
  • 7:19OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 16:12OTTChris Tierney · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:18EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Broken stick2 min

2nd

  • 7:44OTTNikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 11:32OTTTim Stützle · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 18:56EDMAdam Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Ennis, 3rd 6:09 — EDM 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.20E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.15J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
5.32 G
All situations
1 G1.7
3.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM83%17%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
18
23
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+250.22140—25:25
29L. DraisaitlC112+150.440006423:27
22T. BarrieD000+250.58020—22:28
97C. McDavidC011030.391105621:48
56K. YamamotoR000000.07200—20:09
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000030.8000210019:52
6A. LarssonD000000.00232—17:10
75E. BouchardD000030.07020—16:58
4K. RussellD000000.04020—16:54
84W. LagessonD011010.02010—16:05
13J. PuljujarviR000010.42400—15:57
15J. ArchibaldR101+221.306205015:11
16J. KhairaL000+200.003053114:34
63T. EnnisR101+110.21300—13:26
21D. KahunC011010.44000013:20
18J. NealL000030.26100—12:29
8K. TurrisC000020.070004310:05
44Z. KassianR000000.00005—00:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)28271.9641.65+0.6560:00

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).