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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 13:55 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 25, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.0 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1101807225
EDMEDM21221827637

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(17)
    L. Draisaitl (29), K. Yamamoto (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:10
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(4)
    N. Zaitsev (11), A. Watson (6)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:06
  3. EDM
    T. Barrie(4)
    C. McDavid (33)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:45

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(10)PPG
    T. Stützle (10), D. Batherson (10)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    9:19
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(8)
    P. Russell (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    13:55
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(15)PPG
    C. McDavid (34), T. Barrie (20)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    18:50

3rd period

  1. EDM
    T. Ennis(3)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    5:05
  2. EDM
    G. Haas(2)
    T. Ennis (5), A. Larsson (4)
    wristxG 0.20
    2-6
    15:48

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:53OTTMike Reilly · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Russell2 min

2nd

  • 8:58EDMGaetan Haas · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 11:11OTTEvgenii Dadonov · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:06OTTTim Stützle · High stickingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 11:39EDMTyler Ennis · High stickingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 13:33OTTRyan Dzingel · Holdingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 2nd 13:55 — EDM 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.22T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.21G. Haas · Goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.16K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.09J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.03D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.02W. Lagesson · Missed · xG 0.02W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.01P. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.01P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
2.22 G
All situations
6 G4.0
2.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT23%77%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD011-300.00440—24:17
72T. ChabotD101-220.12200—24:05
13N. PaulL000010.243005920:11
5M. ReillyD000050.09302—18:47
16A. WatsonL011020.27300—18:31
7B. TkachukL101-220.359005018:14
44E. GudbransonD000-210.04320—17:42
9J. NorrisC000-120.162104717:05
10R. DzingelC000010.05002016:19
2A. ZubD000010.01010—16:13
71C. TierneyC000-200.060102115:46
63E. DadonovL000-110.21102—15:45
28C. BrownR000-220.03100—15:44
18T. StützleC011-110.17102014:36
19D. BathersonR011-320.20210—14:21
24C. WolaninD000-100.00100—11:57
62C. BishopC000020.170006708:51
3J. BrownD000000.00200—04:52
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Daccord(L)37316.8383.98-2.0260:00

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).