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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Chiasson's goal at 6:03 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 28, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Alex Chiasson (1 G), 2. Thomas Chabot (2 A), 3. Kyle Turris (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    A. Chiasson1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Turris1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT16111011228
EDMEDM11221609337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    E. Dadonov(8)
    T. Chabot (15), N. Zaitsev (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:56
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(7)
    D. Nurse (11), C. McDavid (29)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:03

2nd period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(5)PPG
    C. McDavid (30), M. Koskinen (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:03
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(11)
    K. Turris (3), T. Barrie (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:41
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(6)
    T. Chabot (16), C. White (6)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:57

Penalties

OTT 23 PIM·EDM 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:43EDMJujhar Khaira · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 1:43EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 1:43OTTErik Gudbranson · Instigatordrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 1:43OTTErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 1:43OTTErik Gudbranson · Misconductdrawn by Jujhar Khaira10 min
  • 7:42OTTMike Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 17:16EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:08OTTNikita Zaitsev · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 8:24OTTRyan Dzingel · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

3rd

  • 8:47EDMJujhar Khaira · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Chiasson, 2nd 6:03 — EDM 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.70A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.27J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.27C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.12T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.08A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.06K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 4.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
2.32 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT26%74%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
37
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/3
23
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD022+110.14010—25:23
22N. ZaitsevD011+100.02232—20:32
26E. BrannstromD000040.24000—19:50
7B. TkachukL000-150.284007518:33
2A. ZubD000-110.00120—17:56
28C. BrownR000-100.00100—17:41
18T. StützleC101050.52300017:39
63E. DadonovL101+130.23020—17:33
71C. TierneyC000-110.050103717:22
36C. WhiteC011+110.133104717:09
5M. ReillyD000-100.00332—16:56
9J. NorrisC000000.003003814:52
19D. BathersonR000010.19100—14:46
44E. GudbransonD000030.080017—13:58
10R. DzingelC000020.28112013:44
16A. WatsonL000000.00210—13:43
13N. PaulL000+100.000102512:57
53M. PecaC000010.13110005:57
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Daccord(L)37343.9193.92+0.9257:34

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).