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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 13:54 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 35, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Marcus Hogberg stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 3 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11718210435
OTTOTT07112111230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(20)PPG
    C. McDavid (43), T. Barrie (28)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    12:18

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(10)
    T. Chabot (20), B. Tkachuk (12)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.32win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:25
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(21)
    C. McDavid (44), E. Bear (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:26

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(11)
    M. Reilly (18), A. Zub (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    1:02
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(23)
    L. Draisaitl (39), T. Barrie (29)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    13:54
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(22)EN
    C. McDavid (45)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:59

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:44OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 14:37EDMEthan Bear · Interferencedrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 17:54OTTClark Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 3:43OTTArtem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 15:11EDMJosh Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 13:54 — EDM 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.32A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.25C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.16T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.15T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.04A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
35
15
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+240.15330—26:41
97C. McDavidC134+250.511103323:41
22T. BarrieD022030.11110—23:35
29L. DraisaitlC314+271.170005423:29
6A. LarssonD000020.0360010021:07
4K. RussellD000-110.00150—19:02
13J. PuljujarviR000020.19100—17:12
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.180102917:01
39A. ChiassonR000010.15100—14:43
74E. BearD011+100.00002—13:30
16J. KhairaL000000.132004313:01
56K. YamamotoR000-110.10000—12:59
15J. ArchibaldR000+220.05412—12:48
44Z. KassianR000000.00200—12:39
82C. JonesD000010.01020—11:45
8K. TurrisC000040.140002211:33
14D. ShoreC000020.42210011:19
21D. KahunC000-100.00100010:07
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)30282.9332.32+0.3259:48

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).