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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV SNW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgenii Dadonov's goal at 1:20 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 11% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 22, OTT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 9 of 9 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (40 saves, .952), 2. Jujhar Khaira (2 A), 3. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Khaira2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    E. Dadonov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2121307322
OTTOTT112014116242

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(2)
    N. Zaitsev (6), B. Tkachuk (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:26
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(5)
    J. Archibald (1), J. Khaira (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:11
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(1)
    J. Khaira (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. EDM
    T. Barrie(2)
    A. Chiasson (1), D. Shore (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:53

3rd period

  1. OTT
    E. Dadonov(3)
    M. Reilly (5), M. Murray (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:20

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

2nd

  • 7:21EDMJosh Archibald · High sticking double minordrawn by Thomas Chabot4 min

3rd

  • 1:44OTTJosh Norris · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Evgenii Dadonov, 3rd 1:20 — OTT 11% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.24D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.20E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15C. White · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.12T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wolanin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.9 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM31%69%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
22
Shots on goal
42
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
6
7
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101+130.13310—28:28
22T. BarrieD101+130.10000—24:49
97C. McDavidC000-130.231004022:58
6A. LarssonD000010.02510—20:29
29L. DraisaitlC000-130.701105919:50
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.37010018:38
56K. YamamotoR000-110.07210—18:10
20S. KoekkoekD000000.00120—16:35
13J. PuljujarviR000-120.30310—16:31
84W. LagessonD000000.00100—14:23
21D. KahunC000-100.00010013:47
63T. EnnisR000+200.00000—13:29
15J. ArchibaldR011+210.20124—13:18
75E. BouchardD101020.03420—13:13
16J. KhairaL022+210.214004312:19
39A. ChiassonR011+100.00100—10:18
14D. ShoreC011000.00100009:57
8K. TurrisC000+100.000003308:48
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)42402.9522.94+0.9460:00

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).