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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jujhar Khaira's goal at 5:57 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 22, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 3.1 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0406112122
EDMEDM41621218736

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(7)
    L. Draisaitl (27), T. Barrie (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:52
  2. EDM
    J. Khaira(3)
    D. Shore (3)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:57
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(12)PPG
    T. Barrie (18), M. Smith (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    12:08
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(16)
    L. Draisaitl (28), D. Nurse (12)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    13:26

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(13)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (11), C. McDavid (31)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    7:01
  2. EDM
    J. Neal(3)
    A. Chiasson (4)
    snapxG 0.07
    0-6
    8:03

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(14)
    C. McDavid (32), T. Barrie (19)
    snapxG 0.28
    0-7
    7:35
  2. OTT
    E. Dadonov(9)
    A. Watson (5), M. Reilly (10)
    snapxG 0.22
    1-7
    11:11

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:09OTTAustin Watson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Smith2 min

2nd

  • 0:35OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 3:29OTTRyan Dzingel · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Russell2 min
  • 5:48OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:42EDMJujhar Khaira · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Jujhar Khaira, 1st 5:57 — EDM 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Khaira · Goal · xG 0.30L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.28L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.21K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.20R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.12T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.08W. Lagesson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.07P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
1.81 G
All situations
7 G3.9
1.71 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT18%82%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
22
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
49
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD000-200.00200—23:32
72T. ChabotD000-310.01410—23:28
28C. BrownR000-120.15200—19:51
44E. GudbransonD000010.02320—19:16
26E. BrannstromD000-330.04210—18:14
2A. ZubD000-110.05600—17:46
13N. PaulL000-100.043005016:55
7B. TkachukL000-220.075125016:47
19D. BathersonR000-120.37100—16:31
63E. DadonovL101-120.53400—16:08
5M. ReillyD011+100.00320—15:44
16A. WatsonL011010.05512—15:27
18T. StützleC000-110.12200015:25
51A. AnisimovC000020.071102014:49
9J. NorrisC000030.210004414:44
71C. TierneyC000-100.000005012:38
10R. DzingelC000-210.07402011:40
36C. WhiteC000-200.042004405:02
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)36297.8063.91-3.0960:00

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).