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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBC, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 7-4. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 0:31 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.8, WSH 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 23, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.3 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (3 G), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 2 A), 3. Sean Couturier (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton3 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI183639723
WSHWSH21521507437

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:11
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:36
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.35win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:33

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:29
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    4:08
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    7:50
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    4-3
    16:36
  5. WSH
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    19:03

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    5-4
    0:31
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.28win prob +7 pts
    6-4
    17:51
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.52
    7-4
    18:38

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:48PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:38WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 13:17WSHRichard Panik · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 3:14WSHZdeno Chara · High sticking double minordrawn by Sean Couturier4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 0:31 — PHI 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.12C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.12L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maillet · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maillet · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maillet · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
2.86 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.16 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI42%58%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+310.00310—24:13
5P. MyersD011-120.03120—21:17
53S. GostisbehereD000+120.05200—20:24
56E. GustafssonD011+210.04020—19:27
25J. van RiemsdykL112+220.20000—18:26
93J. VoracekR011000.00000—18:05
61J. BraunD011+300.05030—17:33
28C. GirouxR000000.080007516:23
86J. FarabeeL033+330.17000—16:05
11T. KonecnyR000010.05000—16:02
14S. CouturierC213+420.651004515:54
13K. HayesR000030.241003315:41
21S. LaughtonC303+230.821003815:18
23O. LindblomL000-200.05110—13:41
12M. RafflL022+400.11000—13:40
19N. PatrickC000-200.110007813:07
8R. HaggD101030.12110—12:57
62N. Aube-KubelR011+100.01000—11:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)37334.8922.71-1.2960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).