Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 6:58 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were WSH 22, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.7 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Carlson (1 G), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Carlson1 G

- ★★A. Ovechkin1 G

- ★★★S. Couturier1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-08:37
1-111:14
2-113:10
2nd period
3-16:58
4-117:33
3rd period
4-21:43
4-310:45
5-319:32
Penalties
1st
- 1:31
Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 10:31
Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
- 17:15
Garnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Andy Andreoff5 min
- 17:15
Andy Andreoff · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
2nd
- 1:50
Travis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 20:00
Zdeno Chara · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 20:00
Travis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min
3rd
- 10:58
Claude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
- 10:58
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 12:43
served by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Carlson, 2nd 6:58 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.3
- 1.64 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.0
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 1.26
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 25
- Hits
- 24
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 6
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
