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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 8:45 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 34% to 46%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 30, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.2 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Sheary (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Samsonov (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. Sheary1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Mantha1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1906015130
WSHWSH4191716632

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:07
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:45
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    11:32
  4. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    16:25
  5. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    18:21

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    9:22

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.04
    1-6
    5:10

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:57PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Elbowingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 15:46PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

2nd

  • 6:26WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 3:27PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 6:25WSHGarnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 1st 8:45 — PHI 34% → 46%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.33A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.25T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.16A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
1.81 G
All situations
6 G2.8
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI35%65%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000000.02000—22:43
6T. SanheimD000-100.00110—22:02
53S. GostisbehereD000-120.04012—21:32
93J. VoracekR000-300.10010—18:40
14S. CouturierC101+140.192004118:02
61J. BraunD000030.09020—17:57
86J. FarabeeL000+130.12000—17:39
8R. HaggD000-100.01402—16:56
28C. GirouxR000-310.180005016:11
11T. KonecnyR000-220.08010—15:38
13K. HayesR000-110.012007515:33
55S. MorinL000-120.04000—15:13
19N. PatrickC000030.210102915:01
21S. LaughtonC000010.152107114:57
25J. van RiemsdykL011+140.10000—14:16
23O. LindblomL000010.14010—12:49
58T. LaczynskiC000030.371001112:26
62N. Aube-KubelR000000.00002—08:28
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)32266.8132.77-3.2360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).