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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 5:28 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 41, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.3 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Carlson (4 A), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Wade Allison (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Carlson4 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    W. Allison1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH111319211641
PHIPHI1611019325

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:38
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:33
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:28
  3. WSH
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    6:15
  4. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    15:02

3rd period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes (15), C. Giroux (22)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    7:02
  2. WSH
    J. Schultz (20), L. Eller (13)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    5-3
    9:15
  3. WSH
    A. Mantha(14)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.46win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:48

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:42PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 8:11PHISamuel Morin · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 11:35WSHNick Jensen · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 6:11PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 17:56WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 1:09WSHT.J. Oshie · Interferencedrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
  • 5:14WSHConor Sheary · Trippingdrawn by Wade Allison2 min
  • 10:42PHITravis Konecny · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ilya Samsonov2 min
  • 14:36PHIKevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 2nd 5:28 — PHI 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.21W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.16J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07C. Twarynski · Missed · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.03J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02C. Twarynski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
3.15 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G0.6
0.42 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH68%32%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
41
Shots on goal
25
39%
Faceoffs
61%
2/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD044+130.11010—22:01
8A. OvechkinL213+250.65100—20:08
33Z. CharaD000-110.02030—19:30
3N. JensenD000030.23312—18:28
4B. DillonD000+110.01110—18:03
19N. BackstromC000030.110006017:44
77T. OshieR000+100.001123317:44
92E. KuznetsovC123+310.130123317:30
9D. OrlovD101+130.19110—17:25
2J. SchultzD011+200.00000—17:11
43T. WilsonR011+230.15000—16:44
39A. ManthaR101+130.591103315:26
62C. HagelinL000020.01100—14:20
26N. DowdC000020.245101812:51
20L. EllerC011-110.230005512:37
21G. HathawayR000010.0421010012:33
73C. ShearyL101-140.19002—11:42
10D. SprongR000-150.24100—09:49
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)25223.8801.71-1.2960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).