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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSWA, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Flyers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 19:44 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 27, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G), 3. T.J. Oshie (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0721317327
PHIPHI11408015137

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:04

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie (11), Z. Chara (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    15:11
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:44

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:15

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:40WSHConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 16:00PHITravis Konecny · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ilya Samsonov2 min

2nd

  • 7:56WSHZdeno Chara · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 8:01PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 9:25WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:08WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 2nd 19:44 — WSH 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.27T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.23S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.17T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.13J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH42%58%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+120.02332—21:21
4B. DillonD000010.01120—20:18
33Z. CharaD011+230.05402—20:10
2J. SchultzD000-130.11110—19:37
3N. JensenD101+120.09110—18:25
9D. OrlovD101+110.16300—18:12
20L. EllerC000010.060003017:51
8A. OvechkinL101+130.78010—17:27
19N. BackstromC011+110.100005316:25
77T. OshieR022+110.0300010014:55
21G. HathawayR000000.00210—14:42
26N. DowdC000000.003124514:39
62C. HagelinL000030.28100—14:26
14R. PanikR000010.55210—13:19
10D. SprongR000+110.08000—13:13
92E. KuznetsovC000+110.031004213:03
73C. ShearyL000020.23002—13:01
13J. VranaL011+110.08200—11:08
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)37361.9732.08+1.0860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).