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Capitals at Flyers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
4
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Jensen's goal at 3:05 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 1.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 23, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.1 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G), 2. Nic Dowd (1 G), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Dowd1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH292717523
PHIPHI0821529432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Sprong(5)
    J. Vrana (10), E. Kuznetsov (8)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:40
  2. WSH
    C. Hagelin(3)
    N. Jensen (8), G. Hathaway (5)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:21

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:36
  2. WSH
    N. Jensen(2)
    C. Hagelin (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:05
  3. PHI
    N. Patrick(3)
    J. Voracek (14), T. Sanheim (7)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    5:47
  4. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(10)PPG
    N. Backstrom (20), J. Carlson (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    13:10

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(6)
    G. Hathaway (6), J. Carlson (18)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    4:25
  2. PHI
    S. Gostisbehere(5)PPG
    S. Couturier (12), T. Konecny (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    13:07
  3. PHI
    C. Giroux(5)
    J. Voracek (15), T. Sanheim (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    5-4
    17:03

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:14WSHJustin Schultz · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 10:23WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 11:48PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 9:01PHIOskar Lindblom · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 12:05WSHNick Jensen · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Jensen, 2nd 3:05 — WSH 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.21T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.12N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.09N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 1.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
1.65 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.14 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH44%56%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022+120.04020—23:06
19N. BackstromC011-110.141104723:00
77T. OshieR000-120.241103322:38
8A. OvechkinL101-140.15010—20:20
33Z. CharaD000-100.00030—20:13
4B. DillonD000+300.00300—19:31
3N. JensenD112+130.09002—18:38
9D. OrlovD000-120.06110—18:33
2J. SchultzD000-100.04112—17:53
26N. DowdC101+330.222324017:17
62C. HagelinL112+310.05020—16:58
92E. KuznetsovC011-110.061104315:52
21G. HathawayR022+300.0761010015:39
73C. ShearyL000000.00010—11:38
13J. VranaL011-120.29010—11:37
10D. SprongR101-110.0510010011:12
14R. PanikR000010.10000—09:24
20L. EllerC000000.000005001:29
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)32284.8751.88-2.1260:00

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).