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Flyers at Capitals
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wade Allison's goal at 14:45 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.2, WSH 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 29, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Vitek Vanecek stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wade Allison (2 G), 2. Brian Elliott (28 saves, .933), 3. Daniel Sprong (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    W. Allison2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    B. Elliott28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Sprong1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI18211110429
WSHWSH18112010230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(18)
    K. Hayes (17)
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:44
  2. WSH
    D. Sprong(13)
    A. Mantha (13)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:19

2nd period

  1. PHI
    W. Allison(3)
    O. Lindblom (6), J. Braun (5)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:19
  2. PHI
    W. Allison(4)
    P. Myers (10), J. van Riemsdyk (24)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    14:45
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(22)
    B. Dillon (17), L. Eller (15)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:51

3rd period

  1. PHI
    S. Couturier(17)EN
    J. van Riemsdyk (25), B. Elliott (1)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:29

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:35WSHDaniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 5:16WSHDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 9:09PHIJustin Braun · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Wade Allison, 2nd 14:45 — PHI 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.32D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.23C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.16T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.12J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
2.23 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI44%56%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+100.02010—24:33
6T. SanheimD000010.03110—23:04
45C. YorkD000010.03010—20:19
25J. van RiemsdykL022+220.17000—19:09
61J. BraunD011+120.05442—18:29
11T. KonecnyR000000.08000—17:56
14S. CouturierC101+140.540108017:55
28C. GirouxR000+110.040007317:40
5P. MyersD011+140.22200—17:19
21S. LaughtonC000+200.072005017:15
62N. Aube-KubelR000020.18110—15:11
13K. HayesR011+250.281104414:43
86J. FarabeeL101+110.26010—14:25
57W. AllisonR202020.11020—14:06
93J. VoracekR000+110.03000—12:22
55S. MorinL000+110.03400—12:02
23O. LindblomL011-110.00000—11:20
19N. PatrickC000-210.070004010:20
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)30282.9332.22+0.2259:52

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).