Rays at Yankees
Last play · Jake Mangum lines into a double play, second baseman Alexander Vargas to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Chandler Simpson out at 1st.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Jasson Domínguez scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Coco Montes. (inning 1) — +17% Yankees
4Brendan Jones singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Oswald Peraza scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd.0–4
4Jasson Domínguez grounds into a force out, shortstop Coco Montes to second baseman Jonathan Aranda. Pablo Reyes scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd. Everson Pereira out at 2nd. Jasson Domínguez to 1st.0–3
1Paul Goldschmidt doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Jasson Domínguez scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Coco Montes.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








































































