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Week 13 of 2026, ranked by a score whose parts are all shown. No term rewards a program for being famous — if a Tuesday MAC game outranks the night game, that is the answer.

Week01234567891011121315

The five

  1. 1
    #4Texasat#10Texas A&MLone Star Showdown
    Fri, Nov 27 · 7:30 PM ETKyle Fieldmodel Texas A&M by 1.8market +2.5
    • Projected closeness 29/35
    • Team quality 28/30
    • Stakes 15/15
    • History 9/10
    81
    score
  2. 2
    #11Oklahomaat#23Missouri
    Time TBDMemorial Stadiummodel Oklahoma by 0.8
    • Projected closeness 32/35
    • Team quality 26/30
    • Stakes 15/15
    • History 3/10
    • Points on the board 2/10
    78
    score
  3. 3
    Nebraskaat#21IowaHeroes Game
    Fri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ETKinnick Stadiummodel Iowa by 1.7
    • Projected closeness 30/35
    • Team quality 24/30
    • Stakes 7/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    73
    score
  4. 4
    #18TennesseeatVanderbiltTennessee-Vanderbilt
    Time TBDFirstBank Stadiummodel Vanderbilt by 3.6market +3
    • Projected closeness 25/35
    • Team quality 25/30
    • Stakes 7/15
    • History 8/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    68
    score
  5. 5
    #16Penn StateatMaryland
    Time TBDSECU Stadiummodel Maryland by 0.9
    • Projected closeness 32/35
    • Team quality 17/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 3/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    64
    score

The rest of the slate

  1. 6
    Auburnat#12AlabamaIron Bowl
    Time TBDBryant-Denny Stadiummodel Alabama by 6.2market -10
    • Projected closeness 19/35
    • Team quality 24/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    63
    score
  2. 7
    South CarolinaatClemsonPalmetto Bowl
    Time TBDMemorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)model South Carolina by 1.3market -3
    • Projected closeness 31/35
    • Team quality 20/30
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    63
    score
  3. 8
    FloridaatFlorida StateFlorida-Florida State
    Fri, Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ETDoak Campbell Stadiummodel Florida by 2.4market +4.5
    • Projected closeness 28/35
    • Team quality 20/30
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    60
    score
  4. 9
    #19Washingtonat#6OregonOregon-Washington
    Time TBDAutzen Stadiummodel Oregon by 17.7market -15.5
    • Projected closeness 6/35
    • Team quality 27/30
    • Stakes 15/15
    • History 10/10
    • Points on the board 1/10
    59
    score
  5. 10
    DukeatWake ForestWake Forest-Duke
    Time TBDAllegacy Federal Credit Union Stadiummodel Wake Forest by 3.8
    • Projected closeness 24/35
    • Team quality 18/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    58
    score
  6. 11
    #24LouisvilleatKentuckyGovernor's Cup
    Time TBDKroger Fieldmodel Louisville by 5.3
    • Projected closeness 21/35
    • Team quality 18/30
    • Stakes 5/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    56
    score
  7. 12
    #8LSUatArkansasBattle for the Golden Boot
    Time TBDRazorback Stadiummodel LSU by 11.5
    • Projected closeness 11/35
    • Team quality 21/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    52
    score
  8. 13
    Michiganat#1Ohio StateThe Game
    Sat, Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ETOhio Stadiummodel Ohio State by 18.2market -13.5
    • Projected closeness 6/35
    • Team quality 26/30
    • Stakes 9/15
    • History 10/10
    • Points on the board 1/10
    52
    score
  9. 14
    MinnesotaatWisconsinPaul Bunyan's Axe
    Fri, Nov 27 · 7:30 PM ETCamp Randall Stadiummodel Minnesota by 5.4
    • Projected closeness 21/35
    • Team quality 15/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 10/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    52
    score
  10. 15
    TroyatArkansas State
    Sat, Nov 28 · 3:00 PM ETCentennial Bank Stadiummodel Arkansas State by 0.3
    • Projected closeness 34/35
    • Team quality 9/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 3/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    51
    score
  11. 16
    Arizona StateatArizonaTerritorial Cup
    Time TBDArizona Stadiummodel Arizona by 9.7market -4.5
    • Projected closeness 13/35
    • Team quality 21/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 10/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    51
    score
  12. 17
    KansasatOklahoma State
    Time TBDBoone Pickens Stadiummodel Kansas by 0.6
    • Projected closeness 33/35
    • Team quality 6/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 4/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    50
    score
  13. 18
    LibertyatMissouri State
    Sat, Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ETPlaster Sports Complexmodel Missouri State by 0.7
    • Projected closeness 33/35
    • Team quality 11/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    50
    score
  14. 19
    Kansas StateatIowa State
    Time TBDJack Trice Stadiummodel Kansas State by 9.1
    • Projected closeness 14/35
    • Team quality 21/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 5/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    47
    score
  15. 20
    IllinoisatNorthwesternLand of Lincoln Trophy
    Time TBDRyan Fieldmodel Northwestern by 11.7market +3.5
    • Projected closeness 11/35
    • Team quality 19/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 10/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    47
    score
  16. 21
    Mississippi Stateat#9Ole MissEgg Bowl
    Fri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ETVaught-Hemingway Stadiummodel Ole Miss by 22.9market -14.5
    • Projected closeness 4/35
    • Team quality 23/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 2/10
    46
    score
  17. 22
    Southern MissatOld Dominion
    Time TBDS.B. Ballard Stadiummodel Old Dominion by 0.7
    • Projected closeness 33/35
    • Team quality 6/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    46
    score
  18. 23
    PittsburghatCalifornia
    Time TBDCalifornia Memorial Stadiummodel California by 3.0
    • Projected closeness 26/35
    • Team quality 13/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    45
    score
  19. 24
    Louisiana TechatGeorgia Southern
    Time TBDAllen E. Paulson Stadiummodel Louisiana Tech by 2.1
    • Projected closeness 28/35
    • Team quality 10/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 3/10
    45
    score
  20. 25
    UCFatColorado
    Time TBDFolsom Fieldmodel Colorado by 3.0
    • Projected closeness 26/35
    • Team quality 12/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    44
    score
  21. 26
    Florida AtlanticatEast Carolina
    Time TBDDowdy-Ficklen Stadiummodel East Carolina by 1.1
    • Projected closeness 31/35
    • Team quality 6/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    44
    score
  22. 27
    Air ForceatNew Mexico
    Sat, Nov 28 · 4:30 PM ETUniversity Stadium (NM)model New Mexico by 6.0
    • Projected closeness 19/35
    • Team quality 14/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 4/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    44
    score
  23. 28
    Georgia Techat#2GeorgiaClean, Old-Fashioned Hate
    Time TBDSanford Stadiummodel Georgia by 26.1
    • Projected closeness 3/35
    • Team quality 22/30
    • Stakes 7/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    44
    score
  24. 29
    ToledoatOhio
    Fri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ETPeden Stadiummodel Ohio by 4.2
    • Projected closeness 23/35
    • Team quality 10/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 3/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    43
    score
  25. 30
    #14USCatUCLAVictory Bell (LA)
    Time TBDRose Bowlmodel USC by 16.6market +10.5
    • Projected closeness 7/35
    • Team quality 18/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 1/10
    42
    score
  26. 31
    #25VirginiaatVirginia TechCommonwealth Cup
    Time TBDLane Stadiummodel Virginia by 16.5market -1.5
    • Projected closeness 7/35
    • Team quality 15/30
    • Stakes 7/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    42
    score
  27. 32
    Baylorat#22Houston
    Time TBDTDECU Stadiummodel Houston by 12.1
    • Projected closeness 11/35
    • Team quality 16/30
    • Stakes 7/15
    • History 4/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    41
    score
  28. 33
    TCUat#13Texas Tech
    Thu, Nov 26 · 8:00 PM ETJones AT&T Stadiummodel Texas Tech by 27.2market -16.5
    • Projected closeness 2/35
    • Team quality 24/30
    • Stakes 8/15
    • History 5/10
    • Points on the board 1/10
    40
    score
  29. 34
    UConnatWyoming
    Time TBDWar Memorial Stadiummodel UConn by 2.4
    • Projected closeness 28/35
    • Team quality 8/30
    • Points on the board 3/10
    39
    score
  30. 35
    TulaneatSouth Florida
    Time TBDRaymond James Stadiummodel South Florida by 10.0
    • Projected closeness 13/35
    • Team quality 20/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 4/10
    39
    score
  31. 36
    NevadaatUNLVFremont Cannon
    Sat, Nov 28 · 9:00 PM ETAllegiant Stadiummodel UNLV by 17.6
    • Projected closeness 6/35
    • Team quality 16/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 5/10
    39
    score
  32. 37
    NC StateatNorth CarolinaTextile Bowl
    Time TBDKenan Stadiummodel NC State by 11.4market +1.5
    • Projected closeness 11/35
    • Team quality 12/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 9/10
    • Points on the board 3/10
    38
    score
  33. 38
    Central MichiganatBall State
    Sat, Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ETScheumann Stadiummodel Central Michigan by 2.7
    • Projected closeness 27/35
    • Team quality 1/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 5/10
    • Points on the board 2/10
    38
    score
  34. 39
    UABatNorth Texas
    Time TBDDATCU Stadiummodel North Texas by 8.3
    • Projected closeness 15/35
    • Team quality 14/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • History 1/10
    • Points on the board 4/10
    37
    score
  35. 40
    App StateatSouth Alabama
    Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ETHancock Whitney Stadiummodel South Alabama by 4.2
    • Projected closeness 23/35
    • Team quality 7/30
    • Stakes 3/15
    • Points on the board 3/10
    36
    score

How the score is built

Projected closeness — 35 points
Decays exponentially in the model’s projected margin: a pick’em is the full 35, a touchdown favorite about half, three scores nothing. The largest term, because a blowout is a blowout no matter who is playing.
Team quality — 30 points
Elo percentile of both sides, with two thirds of the weight on the weaker team. A top-five side hosting a bad one is not a good game, and an average of the two would claim it was.
Stakes — 15 points
Poll position going into the week, plus a share for a conference game. Two ranked teams take most of it; the higher the pair, the more.
Rivalry history — 10 points
From the all-time series: a named trophy game, the length of the series, and whether the all-time ledger has stayed close.
Points on the board — 10 points
The projected total, from the drive-sim. A 31-28 is better television than a 10-7 and that is allowed to matter a little — but only a little, or the whole list becomes bad defenses.

There is no term for brand, television window or network. A watchability score that rewards blue bloods for existing is a popularity ranking wearing a lab coat.