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Hurricanes at Golden Knights
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
0
FinalTV ABC, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 13:31 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.4, VGK 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 23, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brandon Bussi (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G), 3. Jackson Blake (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Bussi22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR181817323
VGKVGK0110308022

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(7)
    J. Slavin (5), J. Blake (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:47

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(7)
    L. Stankoven (5)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:31

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(8)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.71Video
    3-0
    18:52

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:26CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Carter Hart2 min
  • 10:57VGKTomas Hertl · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 16:12VGKJack Eichel · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 18:38CARLogan Stankoven · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 17:04VGKRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 8:49CAREric Robinson · High stickingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCAR goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 2nd 13:31 — CAR 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.26M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.20J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.18B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.17P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.17B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK0 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVGK
2.42 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR33%67%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
39
12
Blocked shots
7
16
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD000+200.00200—23:50
5J. ChatfieldD000+100.02140—23:37
19K. MillerD000+200.01110—22:59
74J. SlavinD011+100.00020—22:31
20S. AhoC000+110.562005320:14
24S. JarvisR000020.1721010018:44
11J. StaalC000010.222006417:02
37A. SvechnikovR000+130.13600—16:26
22L. StankovenC011+210.115022516:15
48J. MartinookL000030.03210—16:01
27N. EhlersL101+130.75000—15:28
71T. HallL101+220.11000—14:38
53J. BlakeR112+230.19022—14:32
4S. GostisbehereD000020.10000—11:54
21A. NikishinD000000.00100—11:40
28W. CarrierL000010.01300—10:26
50E. RobinsonL000010.00302—08:53
77M. JankowskiL000000.002107108:50
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)222201.0002.65+2.6560:00

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).