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Hurricanes at Golden Knights
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Final/2OTTV ABC, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4 in double overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 5:38. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 5:38 of the second overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were CAR 33, VGK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mitch Marner (3 G, 1 A), 3. Brayden McNabb (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Marner3 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR07054130602433
VGKVGK02414090713535

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(5)PPG
    J. Eichel (18), M. Marner (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:26
  2. VGK
    M. Marner(8)
    W. Karlsson (5), S. Theodore (10)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:42
  3. VGK
    M. Marner(9)
    B. McNabb (7)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:32
  4. VGK
    M. Marner(10)
    T. Hertl (8)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    16:52

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    S. Jarvis (6), L. Stankoven (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:03
  2. CAR
    T. Hall(6)
    S. Aho (5), J. Blake (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:29
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(5)
    J. Slavin (4), E. Robinson (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-4
    7:42
  4. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(4)PPG
    J. Staal (4), S. Aho (6)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +39 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:18

2OT overtime

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(6)
    B. McNabb (8), B. Howden (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +48 ptsVideo
    4-5
    5:38

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:16CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:15VGKCole Smith · Holding the stickdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 4:04CARSebastian Aho · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Mitch Marner0 min
  • 12:07CARSeth Jarvis · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:05VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCAR goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, 2OT 5:38 — VGK 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.35B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.25M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.24B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.21B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.20M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.19M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.19T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVGK
3.14 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVGK
33
Shots on goal
35
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
66
14
Blocked shots
30
30
Giveaways
25
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD000030.09510—34:20
19K. MillerD000010.07210—33:25
74J. SlavinD011000.01010—29:56
5J. ChatfieldD000+130.01140—28:15
24S. JarvisR011+110.19302—27:22
37A. SvechnikovR101-230.48510—25:49
20S. AhoC022000.071105024:51
27N. EhlersL000+120.1600010024:36
53J. BlakeR011-120.47210—24:10
22L. StankovenC011-100.034005323:50
11J. StaalC112+150.453006723:16
71T. HallL101030.29210—22:57
4S. GostisbehereD000-110.02110—22:43
48J. MartinookL101030.38410—20:41
21A. NikishinD000-230.12500—19:16
50E. RobinsonL011010.01210—18:44
77M. JankowskiL000-120.210006515:10
28W. CarrierL000-100.00200—06:51
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(L)19181.9471.80+0.8045:26
31F. Andersen16124.7501.73-2.2740:00

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).