Skip to content
Golden Knights at Hurricanes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
4
FinalTV ABC, CBC·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 16:36 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 23, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 3. Brett Howden (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1421128523
CARCAR21215112429

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(5)
    J. Slavin (3), J. Chatfield (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:25
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(6)
    J. Chatfield (6)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:08
  3. VGK
    S. Theodore(5)
    B. McNabb (4), C. Smith (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:28

2nd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(6)
    J. Eichel (17), B. McNabb (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:30
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(2)
    M. Marner (15), B. Howden (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:35
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(3)
    K. Miller (9)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:42

3rd period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(11)
    S. Theodore (8), B. McNabb (6)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:21
  2. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-4
    11:19
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(4)
    C. Sissons (5), S. Theodore (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +43 ptsVideo
    5-4
    16:36

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:37VGKBrett Howden · Cross checkingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

2nd

  • 7:46CARMark Jankowski · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 18:35CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 6:09VGKRasmus Andersson · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 9:03CARMark Jankowski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalVGK goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 16:36 — VGK 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.18L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.17T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.00W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCAR
4.05 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.95 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
1.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK68%32%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
35
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000+120.02102—23:18
27S. TheodoreD123+220.44020—23:00
15N. HanifinD000000.05140—21:15
3B. McNabbD033+300.00020—21:13
93M. MarnerR011010.11010—20:54
9J. EichelC011-130.500005020:33
71W. KarlssonC101+120.280104818:05
16P. DorofeyevR000-130.89000—17:19
61M. StoneR000+100.13200—16:59
49I. BarbashevL101030.15800—16:49
48T. HertlC101+120.960003815:10
21B. HowdenC112+120.34302014:51
10C. SissonsC011020.104206714:01
5J. LauzonD000-200.00220—13:32
26N. DowdC000000.004103313:14
22C. SmithR011010.01700—11:11
52D. CoghlanD000-200.00110—08:23
55K. KolesarR000+100.0020010006:43
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)29254.8622.50-1.5059:30

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).