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Golden Knights at Hurricanes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV ABC, CBC·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 17:51 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 25, CAR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (2 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (3 A), 3. Brandon Bussi (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1705113225
CARCAR1521019424

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(11)PPG
    J. Eichel (19), T. Hertl (9)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:52
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(8)
    N. Ehlers (8), S. Jarvis (7)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:46

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(5)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (8), N. Ehlers (9)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:58
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(5)
    S. Walker (3), J. Martinook (3)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:51

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)PPG
    N. Ehlers (10), S. Gostisbehere (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:08
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(12)
    S. Theodore (12), J. Eichel (20)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:49

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:24CARNikolaj Ehlers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:54CARK'Andre Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:56VGKJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 10:57VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

3rd

  • 3:23VGKJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 8:38VGKMark Stone · High sticking double minordrawn by Jalen Chatfield4 min
  • 17:47CARNikolaj Ehlers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalVGK goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 17:51 — CAR 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.51J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.33A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.19J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.00W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCAR
4.02 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.11 G
Power play
2 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK73%27%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.94 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011-120.10030—23:42
9J. EichelC022+110.292422923:31
15N. HanifinD000010.09000—22:23
4R. AnderssonD000030.30030—21:52
61M. StoneR000-110.60404—21:47
93M. MarnerR000-110.10120—21:38
3B. McNabbD000000.00132—20:29
16P. DorofeyevR202+130.82100—17:53
26N. DowdC000020.155004215:05
21B. HowdenC000-130.464007514:32
48T. HertlC011030.582006713:26
10C. SissonsC000010.072002012:43
5J. LauzonD000000.01212—12:36
49I. BarbashevL000-120.38600—12:03
22C. SmithR000000.00200—11:39
52D. CoghlanD000-110.01020—11:26
55K. KolesarR000000.00000—09:54
71W. KarlssonC000-110.020003308:43
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)24204.8332.51-1.4957:07

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).