Skip to content
Hurricanes at Golden Knights
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV ABC, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 6:32 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.7, VGK 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 28, VGK 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (2 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 2 A), 3. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR3140925528
VGKVGK162609321

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(11)
    J. Chatfield (7), J. Blake (12)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:06
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(6)
    T. Hall (12), N. Ehlers (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:28
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(7)
    S. Theodore (11), B. McNabb (9)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:22
  4. CAR
    J. Staal(6)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (7), S. Aho (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:48

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(3)
    R. Andersson (6), M. Marner (19)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:22
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(14)
    C. Sissons (6), W. Karlsson (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:08

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(7)
    N. Ehlers (7)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +29 ptsVideo
    4-3
    6:32
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.46win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:05

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:24VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 12:27VGKserved by I. Barbashev · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:32CARTaylor Hall · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 11:30VGKNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 14:20CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 18:30VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 18:30CARJackson Blake · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min

3rd

  • 1:42CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCAR goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 3rd 6:32 — CAR 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.23M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.20P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.14R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVGK
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
21
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
34
Hits
38
16
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
23
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+220.07110—24:41
5J. ChatfieldD011+210.00400—22:51
19K. MillerD000-210.04212—22:45
26S. WalkerD000-210.04530—22:17
27N. EhlersL123+230.5510010019:09
24S. JarvisR000020.16220—18:30
20S. AhoC011-130.151203818:14
22L. StankovenC101030.273003316:54
11J. StaalC202+240.462107516:34
71T. HallL011+130.4302210016:33
53J. BlakeR112+130.40202—15:14
48J. MartinookL000010.00302—13:48
4S. GostisbehereD011010.06010—13:02
37A. SvechnikovR000-100.05100—12:56
50E. RobinsonL000000.00100—10:18
21A. NikishinD000+100.00220—10:13
77M. JankowskiL000000.000007109:38
28W. CarrierL000000.0141010008:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)21183.8572.44-0.5660:00

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).