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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinn Hughes's goal at 10:38 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 23, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Faber (1 A), 3. Jesper Wallstedt (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0421009223
MINMIN171638521

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Q. Hughes(1)
    M. Foligno (1), N. Sturm (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:23

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (6), M. Duchene (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:01
  2. DAL
    M. Bourque(1)
    M. Bunting (1), I. Lyubushkin (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:08
  3. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(1)
    Q. Hughes (6)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:02

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Q. Hughes(2)
    B. Faber (3), M. Zuccarello (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:38
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.91win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:29
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.46Video
    2-5
    19:45

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:46DALMatt Duchene · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 5:55MINYakov Trenin · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:54DALRadek Faksa · Holdingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 5:18DALMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 6:38MINRyan Hartman · Slashingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Quinn Hughes, 3rd 10:38 — MIN 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.91M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.46R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.20J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.14M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.00M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
1.82 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
23
Shots on goal
21
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
32
14
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-420.06000—28:01
55T. HarleyD000-320.13020—25:25
21J. RobertsonL000-220.06010—24:45
53W. JohnstonC101-130.540103823:26
23E. LindellD000000.00010—22:14
96M. RantanenR011-300.063324321:46
95M. DucheneC011-300.000024319:03
49J. HryckowianC000040.226203315:35
22M. BourqueC101050.505005715:09
46I. LyubushkinD011010.05310—14:32
6L. BichselD000010.02310—13:55
18S. SteelC000-200.00000013:35
28A. PetrovicD000000.00600—11:55
10O. BäckC000-110.01020011:52
14J. BennL000-200.02200—11:46
58M. BuntingL011+110.04200—09:11
15C. BlackwellC000-110.05200007:12
12R. FaksaC000-100.002025707:08
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)19163.8421.82-1.1857:30

Series

MIN leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).