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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Final/OTTV TBS, truTV·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Matt Boldy scoring at 19:31. The Stars scored first; the Wild answered. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 19:31 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 3.3, MIN 3.5; shots on goal were DAL 45, MIN 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 39 of 42 (.929); Jesper Wallstedt stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G), 2. Jesper Wallstedt (43 saves, .956), 3. Brock Faber (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt43 saves, .956
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1111170809245
MINMIN11405112111342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(4)PPG
    M. Duchene (4), M. Rantanen (3)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:35
  2. MIN
    B. Faber(3)
    K. Kaprizov (4), R. Hartman (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:52

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(1)PPG
    M. Duchene (5), M. Rantanen (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:25

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)
    N. Sturm (1), B. Faber (2)
    backhandxG 0.57win prob +38 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:40

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(3)
    J. Spurgeon (1), K. Kaprizov (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:31

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:31MINRyan Hartman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Oettinger2 min
  • 7:47DALMavrik Bourque · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 9:50DALLian Bichsel · Hookingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 18:00DALWyatt Johnston · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

2nd

  • 13:15DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 17:45MINBrock Faber · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, OT 19:31 — MIN 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.57B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.26K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.17M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.16Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.00J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.5 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
3.32 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.40 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 130 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL47%53%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
45
Shots on goal
42
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
42
20
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000-330.05030—34:17
4M. HeiskanenD101-260.34010—33:33
55T. HarleyD000060.14110—28:49
57T. MyersD000-160.16150—27:25
21J. RobertsonL101070.76000—25:13
53W. JohnstonC000-130.611025624:30
96M. RantanenR022020.0631010022:59
6L. BichselD000010.12202—21:36
95M. DucheneC022030.420103821:33
22M. BourqueC000-120.333022020:50
49J. HryckowianC000-100.002208620:10
12R. FaksaC000-130.090104017:49
18S. SteelC000-120.120105017:41
15C. BlackwellC000-100.0041010016:52
10O. BäckC000-100.07210016:46
25A. HyryR000-100.041007515:34
14J. BennL000-100.00210—13:26
5N. LundkvistD000010.02012—10:32
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)42393.9293.46+0.4679:31

Series

MIN leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).