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Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

Final/2OTTV TNT, truTV·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in double overtime, Wyatt Johnston scoring at 12:10. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 12:10 of the second overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were DAL 36, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.4 goals below expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 32 of 36 (.889). Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 2 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
DALDAL2909190217436
MINMIN1926070802332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:25
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:48
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:20

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:00
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:25

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:18

2OT overtime

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +52 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:10

Penalties

DAL 16 PIM·MIN 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:05MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 9:24MINNick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 16:25DALJason Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 9:04DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 10:27DALEsa Lindell · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 10:27MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Jake Oettinger2 min
  • 10:48MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min
  • 13:58MINRyan Hartman · Cross checkingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 15:18MINMatt Boldy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:18DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 6:13DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 8:27MINBobby Brink · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 12:30DALMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

OT

  • 14:36DALSam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 19:09DALJamie Benn · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

2OT

  • 5:54MINQuinn Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 10:56MINDanila Yurov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, 2OT 12:10 — DAL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.09M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
3.84 G
All situations
3 G1.6
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
1.83 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL83%17%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
3/8
Power play
1/7
16
Penalty minutes
18
34
Hits
37
31
Blocked shots
17
16
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011020.10050—43:05
23E. LindellD000-120.09044—30:16
53W. JohnstonC112040.442105930:12
55T. HarleyD000020.25120—29:23
21J. RobertsonL123+150.63202—29:05
95M. DucheneC123+120.161106427:39
96M. RantanenR112060.550125027:14
57T. MyersD000-100.00330—25:22
5N. LundkvistD000+100.00120—23:06
18S. SteelC000-100.00302022:58
6L. BichselD000-110.08220—22:27
22M. BourqueC000040.566204520:59
25A. HyryR000-130.334105220:35
10O. BäckC000020.03010019:38
49J. HryckowianC000-100.255105019:15
14J. BennL000-210.04104—18:56
12R. FaksaC000010.272525018:52
15C. BlackwellC000010.0110010017:53
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)32293.9061.65-1.3592:10

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).