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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV ESPN2, FDSNNO·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 19:28 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 28, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11011523428
DALDAL1506111222

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(1)
    K. Kaprizov (6), R. Hartman (3)
    snapxG 0.41win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:51
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(2)PPG
    J. Robertson (3), M. Duchene (6)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:58

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(4)PPG
    Q. Hughes (5), K. Kaprizov (7)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:28

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. McCarron(2)
    Y. Trenin (1), V. Tarasenko (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:47
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(5)
    M. Heiskanen (4), M. Rantanen (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:39
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(2)EN
    M. Boldy (3), J. Middleton (1)
    backhandxG 0.53win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:00

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:16MINBobby Brink · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Harley2 min
  • 18:09DALLian Bichsel · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 3:47MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 9:53DALTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 18:42DALserved by M. Bourque · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:43MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min
  • 14:48MINRyan Hartman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 14:48DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:37MINJared Spurgeon · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 19:28 — MIN 52% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.30W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.19W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Hyry · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN51%49%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
20
26
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011020.20010—26:53
7B. FaberD000+110.03020—26:10
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.00152—21:29
12M. BoldyL112070.480006720:27
14J. Eriksson EkC000040.311125020:16
97K. KaprizovL123+240.94300—18:09
5J. MiddletonD011+200.35162—18:05
36M. ZuccarelloR101+120.5900010016:59
24Z. BogosianD000-100.00120—16:04
71N. FolignoL000010.062004015:20
38R. HartmanR011+120.281126415:09
47M. McCarronC101+110.130205014:41
13Y. TreninC011+110.04710012:04
91V. TarasenkoR011+110.11100—12:04
90M. JohanssonL000010.03300—10:56
17M. FolignoL000000.00300—10:16
10B. BrinkR000000.00032—09:44
25J. BrodinD000+110.04020—07:22
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)22202.9092.53+0.5359:47

Series

MIN leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).