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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸6
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV ESPN, FDSNNO·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 6-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 0:56 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.9, DAL 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 29, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (27 saves, .964), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11131325629
DALDAL0818012128

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(1)PPG
    M. Boldy (1), M. Zuccarello (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:35

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(1)
    R. Hartman (1), M. Zuccarello (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:56
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(1)
    B. Faber (1), Q. Hughes (1)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:28
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(1)
    K. Kaprizov (1), J. Eriksson Ek (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    6:30
  4. DAL
    J. Robertson(1)PPG
    W. Johnston (1), M. Heiskanen (1)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:10

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(2)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (2), M. Zuccarello (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    8:13
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.66Video
    6-1
    16:52

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:32DALTyler Myers · Elbowingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 8:23MINMarcus Johansson · Slashingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 18:11DALMikko Rantanen · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min

2nd

  • 4:14DALMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 14:06MINDanila Yurov · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 3:38MINJonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 7:31DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 10:43MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 10:43DALMavrik Bourque · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 14:43MINNick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 0:56 — MIN 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.27J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.25W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.21J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.19W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.09A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.00M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 2.9 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
2.95 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.23 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.92 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
49
Hits
39
17
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011+430.24010—24:35
43Q. HughesD011+310.01010—24:30
25J. BrodinD000000.00022—19:35
14J. Eriksson EkC213+150.382005719:05
46J. SpurgeonD000020.05410—18:40
97K. KaprizovL123+320.41200—17:58
12M. BoldyL213+281.1321210017:50
36M. ZuccarelloR033+210.01210—16:41
38R. HartmanR112+210.152305816:05
5J. MiddletonD000+100.00110—15:29
91V. TarasenkoR000010.18110—14:36
13Y. TreninC000010.051320013:36
17M. FolignoL000+100.00700—13:03
24Z. BogosianD000000.00220—13:01
47M. McCarronC000010.003004612:45
90M. JohanssonL000020.03312—12:14
71N. FolignoL000+100.003025010:51
22D. YurovR000010.24202—10:22
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)28271.9642.90+1.9060:00

Series

MIN leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).