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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV ESPN, FDSNNO·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Eichel's goal at 16:12 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 24, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 3. Adin Hill (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK181917324
MINMIN11209110231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(2)PPG
    V. Olofsson (1), J. Eichel (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:30
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(1)
    M. Foligno (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:56

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(1)
    M. Stone (2), B. McNabb (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:12

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(2)
    B. McNabb (3), S. Theodore (2)
    batxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:02
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(2)
    M. Johansson (2), J. Middleton (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.37win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:33

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:27MINMarco Rossi · High sticking double minordrawn by Brayden McNabb4 min
  • 6:22VGKNoah Hanifin · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

2nd

  • 1:03VGKNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 7:06MINBrock Faber · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

3rd

  • 11:30MINKirill Kaprizov · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Eichel, 2nd 16:12 — VGK 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.37M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.24M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.21M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.16M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
2.03 G
All situations
2 G2.6
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK40%60%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
24
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
23
24
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD112+230.09050—25:22
3B. McNabbD022+220.05410—22:41
9J. EichelC112+230.251506522:39
61M. StoneR112+240.62010—22:21
7A. PietrangeloD000-100.02030—20:58
15N. HanifinD000-210.04112—20:24
71W. KarlssonC000+210.010204319:03
48T. HertlC000-120.135005017:01
10N. RoyC000-120.114106015:08
49I. BarbashevL000-200.200005015:02
19R. SmithR000-100.00000—13:48
21B. HowdenC000000.084202512:56
20B. SaadL000020.223005012:45
95V. OlofssonL011-110.13100—12:39
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.01220—12:34
14N. HagueD000010.03002—12:02
55K. KolesarR000010.00410—11:48
70T. PearsonL000010.05400—06:49
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)31292.9352.65+0.6560:00

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).