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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV ESPN, FDSNNO·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 2:28 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 20, VGK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Brett Howden (2 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Dorofeyev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    B. Howden2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN170716220
VGKVGK11215210427

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(1)
    A. Pietrangelo (1), B. Saad (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:22
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(1)
    K. Kaprizov (1), R. Hartman (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:42

2nd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(1)PPG
    S. Theodore (1), T. Hertl (1)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:33

3rd period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(1)
    N. Roy (1), N. Hanifin (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:28
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(2)
    K. Kaprizov (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:46
  3. VGK
    B. Howden(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:59

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 13:27MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 7:13VGKBrayden McNabb · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:59MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 3rd 2:28 — VGK 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.33J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.19B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.10S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.00M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
20
Shots on goal
27
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
54
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000000.09110—27:57
25J. BrodinD000-110.08130—25:53
12M. BoldyL202+120.28602—22:32
97K. KaprizovL022+110.01130—21:57
14J. Eriksson EkC000-140.222126821:06
46J. SpurgeonD000+130.09320—20:15
5J. MiddletonD000000.00220—19:16
36M. ZuccarelloR000-110.29100—19:02
90M. JohanssonL000-110.19210—17:09
38R. HartmanR011+230.291105614:38
8Z. BuiumD000010.02200—13:27
89F. GaudreauC000-100.012105312:15
23M. RossiC000010.133006312:10
17M. FolignoL000000.001100—12:05
13Y. TreninC000010.15810010:45
41G. NyquistR000010.03200—10:18
24Z. BogosianD000000.00200—10:02
15J. BrazeauR000000.00400—08:56
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)26233.8852.43-0.5759:11

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).