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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Minnesota Wild
3
Final/OTTV TBS, truTV·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Ivan Barbashev scoring at 17:26. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 17:26 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 46, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Filip Gustavsson stopped 42 of 46 (.913). Three stars: 1. Pavel Dorofeyev (1 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (42 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson42 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK111012212111446
MINMIN1411018010332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(1)PPG
    I. Barbashev (1), J. Eichel (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:47
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(2)
    J. Brazeau (2), Y. Trenin (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:43

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(3)
    R. Hartman (4), M. Zuccarello (1)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:24

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(1)PPG
    T. Hertl (2), P. Dorofeyev (1)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:50
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(3)
    M. Stone (1), B. McNabb (1)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:03
  3. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(1)
    K. Kaprizov (4), J. Eriksson Ek (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.18win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:57

Overtime

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(1)
    N. Roy (2), R. Smith (1)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +52 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:26

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:15MINVinnie Hinostroza · High stickingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

2nd

  • 4:17MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:03MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 10:59VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holding the stickdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 1:48MINZeev Buium · High sticking double minordrawn by Mark Stone4 min

OT

  • 8:09VGKNicolas Roy · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, OT 17:26 — VGK 48% → 100%

Game flow

expected goals, added up
VGK 3.82MIN 2.84dots are goals · empty-net attempts left out
PeriodVGK xGAttGMIN xGAttG
1st0.891510.5561
2nd1.062100.73121
3rd0.941520.78101
OT0.931710.78160

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.33J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.19J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.18J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.18J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.17Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.12F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
3.84 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK65%35%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.73 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Best chances

by our xG
  1. MINJ. Eriksson EkOT 8:07 · wrist · 4 ftSaved33%
  2. VGKI. BarbashevOT 17:26 · backhand · 8 ftGoal29%
  3. VGKR. Smith3rd 16:09 · backhand · 8 ftSaved23%
  4. VGKN. Roy3rd 4:50 · wrist · 21 ft · PPGoal21%
  5. MINJ. Brazeau3rd 11:41 · wrist · 15 ftMissed19%
  6. MINJ. Eriksson Ek2nd 12:13 · tip-in · 5 ft · PPMissed18%

The chance each attempt scores, from where and how it was taken. Empty-net attempts are left out.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
46
Shots on goal
32
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
34
Hits
28
23
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD101+160.42010—30:41
9J. EichelC011-260.314004029:57
7A. PietrangeloD000-120.10140—28:48
61M. StoneR011+140.09120—26:42
3B. McNabbD011+110.03110—26:42
15N. HanifinD000-150.12340—26:05
48T. HertlC112+130.331203623:14
16P. DorofeyevR011-210.05010—22:32
71W. KarlssonC000-140.280205822:25
49I. BarbashevL112+130.462005021:39
19R. SmithR011+130.36310—20:18
10N. RoyC112020.524026517:58
14N. HagueD000-110.02100—17:56
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.00320—17:19
21B. HowdenC000+110.171105015:01
20B. SaadL000-130.2410010014:11
55K. KolesarR000-100.28512—12:53
70T. PearsonL000-110.04310—08:49
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)32293.9062.84-0.1677:26

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).