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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV TBS, truTV·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 11:05 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 32, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.7 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11206114232
MINMIN27214110531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(3)PPG
    Z. Buium (1), M. Boldy (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:13
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(1)
    Y. Trenin (1), J. Brazeau (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:51
  3. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(1)
    N. Hanifin (2)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:48

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:05
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(4)PPG
    R. Hartman (3), M. Rossi (1)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(1)SHG
    W. Karlsson (1), Z. Whitecloud (1)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:34
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(2)EN
    Z. Bogosian (1)
    wristxG 0.76Video
    2-5
    18:27

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:46VGKserved by V. Olofsson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:29VGKNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
  • 9:00MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 9:00VGKIvan Barbashev · Embellishment2 min

2nd

  • 6:28MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 18:11VGKZach Whitecloud · Holdingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

3rd

  • 4:02MINKirill Kaprizov · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 9:53VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 13:38MINJake Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 16:32MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 11:05 — MIN 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.76M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.42K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.20M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.15M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.00K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
3.02 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
1.00 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK66%34%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
42
Hits
26
7
Blocked shots
23
8
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. EichelC000-230.244003824:44
61M. StoneR000-220.28110—24:23
15N. HanifinD011020.05110—23:54
7A. PietrangeloD101+120.09210—19:57
48T. HertlC000-120.402006119:40
16P. DorofeyevR000-140.62210—18:46
2Z. WhitecloudD011020.07202—17:53
27S. TheodoreD000-130.16000—17:26
3B. McNabbD000-100.00220—17:05
14N. HagueD000020.09402—15:49
49I. BarbashevL000-200.00110210015:25
71W. KarlssonC011000.000007112:51
19R. SmithR101+130.1730010012:18
20B. SaadL000+120.3700010012:05
10N. RoyC000010.0910010010:40
95V. OlofssonL000000.08200—10:37
21B. HowdenC000030.232022510:01
55K. KolesarR000-110.05310—09:24
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)21174.8101.33-2.6740:00
40A. Schmid9901.0000.74+0.7418:56

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).