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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN, FDSNNO·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2 in overtime, Brett Howden scoring at 4:05. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 4:05 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 22, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Adin Hill stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brett Howden (1 G), 2. Jack Eichel (2 A), 3. Mark Stone (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN19071501222
VGKVGK216090314332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(1)SHG
    J. Eichel (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:25
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(5)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (2), J. Eriksson Ek (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:38
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(1)
    J. Eichel (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:24

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (3), J. Middleton (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:31

Overtime

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(3)
    T. Pearson (1), N. Hague (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:05

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:59VGKReilly Smith · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 13:24MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 0:07VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 8:08MINRyan Hartman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:33MINMarcus Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 18:39VGKBrandon Saad · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, OT 4:05 — VGK 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.17P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.17B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.12S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN31%69%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
22
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
26
25
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-120.07020—26:51
12M. BoldyL101-130.44110—25:16
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.04050—24:00
97K. KaprizovL101-250.68210—23:11
25J. BrodinD000-100.01110—22:17
5J. MiddletonD011+120.03450—21:11
14J. Eriksson EkC022-220.031004320:17
36M. ZuccarelloR011010.12400—19:07
38R. HartmanR000-100.011123618:32
89F. GaudreauC000+110.061003615:49
24Z. BogosianD000-100.09120—15:03
17M. FolignoL000030.35302—14:50
90M. JohanssonL000020.07100—14:40
4J. MerrillD000-100.00120—12:47
23M. RossiC000-100.003305011:38
41G. NyquistR000000.00120—10:51
13Y. TreninC000-100.04700010:14
15J. BrazeauR000-100.00400—07:51
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson25232.9202.41+0.4140:00
29M. Fleury(L)761.8570.67-0.3324:05

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).