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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 15:11 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 24, FLA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (23 saves, .958), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM160909124
FLAFLA1711004221

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(11)
    E. Rodrigues (8), A. Lundell (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:27
  2. EDM
    M. Janmark(4)
    C. Ceci (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:44

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(10)
    C. Verhaeghe (10), D. Kulikov (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:11

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:21EDMWarren Foegele · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 3:22FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

3rd

  • 3:23EDMEvan Bouchard · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 15:11 — FLA 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.50S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
2.21 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM65%35%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
21
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000050.41132—27:43
14M. EkholmD000040.36030—26:07
97C. McDavidC000020.242203025:42
18Z. HymanL000020.33100—24:52
29L. DraisaitlC000-100.190007022:22
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-110.092107521:00
5C. CeciD011010.01210—18:35
27B. KulakD000-200.00100—15:40
25D. NurseD000010.03100—15:39
86P. BrobergD000000.00010—14:37
37W. FoegeleL000-240.23012—13:50
13M. JanmarkC101+110.18100012:40
28C. BrownR000+110.06010—12:08
19A. HenriqueC000+120.112005011:55
55D. HollowayL000000.00400—10:31
71R. McLeodC000-200.00000009:02
90C. PerryR000000.00100—07:52
10D. RyanC000000.003003806:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)21192.9051.46-0.5458:51

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).