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Panthers at Oilers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 0:46 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.0, EDM 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 21, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.5 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Warren Foegele (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 G), 3. Stuart Skinner (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    W. Foegele1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0201118121
EDMEDM1112426521

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(3)
    L. Draisaitl (21), B. Kulak (7)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:27

2nd period

  1. EDM
    A. Henrique(4)
    M. Janmark (4), M. Ekholm (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:46
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(16)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (15)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:20

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(8)
    C. Verhaeghe (9), D. Kulikov (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:28
  2. EDM
    R. McLeod(4)EN
    W. Foegele (5)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:45
  3. EDM
    D. Nurse(2)EN
    S. Skinner (1), P. Broberg (1)
    wristxG 0.41Video
    1-5
    16:57

Penalties

FLA 16 PIM·EDM 18 PIM

1st

  • 8:17EDMMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 15:23FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

2nd

  • 3:05EDMMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 3:05FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 10:57EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

3rd

  • 6:15EDMDerek Ryan · High stickingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:30FLAKevin Stenlund · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:51FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51EDMRyan McLeod · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 2nd 0:46 — EDM 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.41R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.35C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
2.01 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA61%39%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
21
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
44
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-330.21200—22:05
5A. EkbladD000-200.07310—21:37
62B. MontourD000-110.06010—21:15
13S. ReinhartC000-310.185102520:39
16A. BarkovC101-230.352005320:03
23C. VerhaegheC011-210.2411010019:01
19M. TkachukL000-310.16502—18:53
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.08300—17:41
77N. MikkolaD000000.00300—17:35
9S. BennettC000-410.052004316:50
15A. LundellC000020.181102515:35
27E. LuostarinenC000000.051125014:33
17E. RodriguesC000-210.093106714:20
7D. KulikovD011020.02410—13:55
10V. TarasenkoR000010.04110—12:10
82K. StenlundC000000.081025010:36
21N. CousinsC000010.09120009:48
94R. LombergL000010.056010—07:46
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)19163.8421.48-1.5259:38

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).